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Re:

2 messages picture_as_pdf Source PDF
J
jeffrey E. Jul 8, 2017 8:21 AM
To
Barnaby Marsh

since luck is not zero sum. cant figure out how to move up the curve.

--

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B
Barnaby Marsh Jul 8, 2017 2:55 PM
To
jeffrey E.

perhaps its not the important dimension? If some share advantages of luck and otherse dont, the curve flattens, or becomes bimodal. one can imagine the fomation of "lucky enclaves" where luck is actually manufactured in a sense, and effects kept inthe group and further amplified. In a way, it is a kind of "market" to capture unusual events or to create cascades of events that would be otherwise difficult to create, anticipate, or predict?. I was at lunch yesterday with Dan Rose and he was saying that all of the major real estate families in NYC (excepting Trump) collectively think of the longer-term consequences of their actions for the larger group of dynasties.

How do these "intentinal" actions affect the natrual probability distributions? Perhaps not at all (!!!) but they might shift the curve or displace others at different places in the aggregate population (the curve). Lets keeep thinking.

BTW, this also has implication for my life (and yours)- we want to be members of various "lucky groups" (physical, mental, emotional, intellectual, etc), and if we pick the right sub-group, there will be natural regression to the mean in that group.... so, surround yourself with people as gifted or more, and use the power of RTM? Sometimes, it only works if the gaps are not too large, but I have found it a very useful heuristic in life.... in lots of areas.

When are you back?

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