Re: EDGE Master Class 2015 on Superforecasting: download PDF proofs of Phil Tetlock's new book
JE,
The Master Class is shaping up as one of the most consequential EDGE events of the last 20 years, the one you don't want to miss. Very important for you to be there. Hope you can make it.
Best regards,
JB
p.s. Interesting dinner this week with Manny Roman. Do you know him well?
June 22 San Francisco - Four Seasons
June 26 Palo Alto - Westin Hotel
June 29 New York
"Philip Tetlock is one of the very, very best minds in the social sciences today. He has come up with one brilliant idea after another, and superforecasting is no exception. Everyone agrees that the way to know if an idea is right is to see whether it accurately predicts the future. But which ideas, which methods, which people have an actual, provable track record of non-obvious predictions vindicated by the course of events? The answers will surprise you, and have radical implications for politics, policy, journalism, education, and even epistemology—how we can best gain knowledge about the world we live in."
- Steven Pinker, Johnstone Family Professor, Harvard; Author, THE SENSE OF STYLE; THE BETTER ANGELS OF OUR NATURE
"Philip Tetlock is the world expert on a vital subject. Superforecasting is the wonderful story of how he and his research team got ordinary people to beat experts in a very serious game. It is also a manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it."
—Daniel Kahneman, winner of the Nobel Prize and author of THINKING FAST AND SLOW
A SHORT COURSE IN SUPERFORECASTING WITH PHILIP E. TETLOCK
http://edge.org/edge-master-class-2015
When: 5pm Friday, July 31 - Noon, Sunday, August 2nd
Where: Spring Mountain Vineyard, St. Helena, Napa
Hotel: Harvest Inn, St. Helena, Napa
NEW! - Now Available at the above link For Downloading - Advance Reading Edition SUPERFORECASTING: THE ART AND SCIENCE OF PREDICTION (publication date September 29) By Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner (Uncorrected Proofs - Do Not Circulate)
You are confirmed for the event. See instructions for booking your room directly with the hotel and act now as reservations close July 3rd. And please reconfirm with me asap that you will be joining us.
last year, at the last minute the women said no eps=ein. . am i going to have the same issue again. no probl=m as you know. i am not sensitvie, but ...