Joe - this is my draft. Still awaiting pricing [I]

Joe Hall

Subject: Consider: $10-15mm Total Return Swap on Cash Return On Invested Capital (CROCI), L+65bps

Good Morning Jeffrey

Globally you are seeing the rotation from high-beta, small cap and growth stocks into large-cap value. This is inline with your early call for us to pull out a concentrated five names. Instead of those single stocks, consider a $10-15mm total return swap on Cash Return On Invested Capital (CROCI). Specifically, the CROCI sub-index focused on dividend paying/dividend-growing US equities.

I've included my colleague, Joe Hall, who sits on the CROCI team and will gladly detail this stock-selection strategy with you directly at any point.

Full presentation is attached, a few key points here:

Achieve benefits of active valuation for passive price Bottoms-up valuation - DB CROCI Analyst team (60 people globally) assess each company in it's global universe (800 stocks) from an Economic PE* perspective, adjusting balance sheets to reconcile operating cash flow across sectors for comparable stock-valuation Quantitative selection - stocks selected each month based on the lowest price-to-operating-earnings ratio, based on their valuation metrics (above) Stock universe is ex-financials Re-sets monthly Transparent - pull up the CROCI indices on Bloomberg for mark-to-market (ex: DBUSSDUT - CROCI US Dividends) Implementation can be customized via a separately managed account (SMA) of single stocks Tax-efficient, liquid exposure can be achieved via total-return swap (TRS) 10 principal indices in the CROCI family: US, UK, Japan, Germany, Euro, World, World Ex-Japan, Sectors III, Global Dividends and US Dividends

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CROCI Dividends targets companies with sustainable dividends AND attractive valuations (performance below and p 7 of the attached)

13-Month TRS on DBUSSDUT
Spot 4739.30
Indicative financing: L+65bps
IM:

13-Month TRS on DBUSSDUT vs. SPX (long/short)
Spot
Indicative financing:
IM:

Indicative levels as of 4/8/14. Source: DB GM Equity Derivatives. * (Enterprise Value/Net Capital Invested)/(Cash Return on Capital Invested)

5-Year History of CROCI US DIVIDENDS vs. S&P 500 Inedex (as of close 4/7/14) (Embedded image moved to file: pic10657.gif) Used with permission of Bloomberg Finance LP

Tazia Smith

Thanks Tazia.

A couple of comments;

In the title and in the first paragraph you have inverted "Capital Invested".
Re the chart of the US divs performance; I don't know whether compliance would allow you to just choose an arbitrary time frame. If that is the total time-frame available then that is okay.
In the line; "10 total indices in the CROCI family: US, UK, Japan, Germany, Euro, World, World Ex-Japan, Sectors III, Global Dividends and US Dividends" please remove "total" and put "principal".

Thanks,

Joe

Kind regards,
Joe Hall

Joe Hall

excellent - thank you

Paul Morris

FYI - this is what I'm working on for epstein. have been going back and forth to get JE set up to trade on the touch going fwd with equity derivs. been my entire morning, but we'll get there.