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RE: [I]

6 messages picture_as_pdf Source PDF
J
jeffrey E. Nov 17, 2015 5:43 PM
To
Paul Morris

lets look at leveraged preferred or leveraged bonds.

please note

The information contained in this communication is

EFTA01399934

confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may constitute inside information, and is intended only for the use of the addressee. It is the property of JEE Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited and may be unlawful. If you have received this communication in error, please notify us immediately by return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and destroy this communication and all copies thereof, including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved

EFTA01399935

P
Paul Morris Nov 17, 2015 6:08 PM
To
Daniel SabbaVahe Stepanian
Cc
Stewart Oldfield

Can you think about a list, perhaps getting 10 million to work

Paul Morris

Managing Director

Deutsche Bank Private Bank

Office:

Cell:

D
Daniel Sabba Nov 17, 2015 8:16 PM
To
Paul MorrisVahe Stepanian
Cc
Stewart Oldfield

As discussed, we will socialize between us some HY bonds in addition to Petrobras.

EFTA01399933

We will also send cocos from credit desk, bank preferred run from STG, and CLO mezz and equity from Och Ziff.

V
Vahe Stepanian Nov 17, 2015 10:43 PM
To
Paul Morris
Cc
Stewart OldfieldDaniel SabbaAriane Dwyer

Paul — as discussed, please find a list of relevant ideas for Southern Financial on the back of the client's ask below. The CB&S desk analyst looking at CoCos will be sending us a few specific issues in the morning, which we will send along to you once available. In addition to Petrobras, I've attached a piece with top AWM Fixed Income ideas — pgs. 33-44 are specific to top HY ideas. We can highlight the most relevant ideas — planning on speaking to the desk tomorrow.

Give us a call if you have questions.

Thank you,

Vahe

  1. Buy Petrobras '17s. Rationale:

Since May 2015, Petrobras 10yr spreads have widened by —400bps and in September S&P downgraded Petrobras to BB

In October, domestic fuel prices increased and Petrobras announced significant capex and opex cuts for 2015 and 2016. These can be seen as positive signs for the company's future, but may not mitigate its large long term funding gap: Petrobras will need to roll $60bn and $104bn of debt maturities in the next four and nine years respectively and sovereign support is not guaranteed

DB's Brazil credit analyst believes that the company can meet its short term debt maturities through 2017 without resorting to direct support from the government. DB has revised its forecasts and has upgraded the 3.25% and 3.5% '17s to a Buy rating (please find attached DB Research report). The bonds are currently yielding 7.06% and 7.10% respectively

Petrobras is one of the largest integrated oil companies worldwide

EFTA01399927

and aims to be one of top 5 globally by 2030

Indicative Terms (as of 11/17/2015):

Client buys PETBRA 3.250% Notes '17

Maturity 03/17/2017

Amount 0/S $1.6bn

Rating Ba2 / BB / BBB- (Mdy/S&P/Fitch)

Price 95.25

Mid Yield 7.06%

Client buys PETBRA 3.500% Notes '17
Maturity 02/06/2017
Amount 0/S $1.75bn
Rating Ba2 / BB / BBB- (Mdy/S&P/Fitch)
Price 95.875
Mid Yield 7.10%
  1. As you already know, Och Ziff is coming to market with a new issue CLO, OZLM XIV. The desk is hoping to price ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday, for settlement in December.

I've attached the manager pitchbook, but please also find a few high-level bullet points:

Och Ziff is a leading institutional asset manager with $46.1bn in AUM, established investment capability in all major markets and strong international presence with eight global offices

Launched in May 2012, Institutional Credit Strategies (ICS), is Och-Ziff's asset management platform that investments in performing credit

EFTA01399928

via CLOs and other customized solutions for clients

The ICS team is lead by the US portfolio manager, Donald Young, and the European portfolio manager, Adeel Shafiqullah. Together they source and execute investment ideas across a broad range of sectors, industries, and regions

This group has successfully closed 13 U.S. CLOs with a total transaction value of —$7bn

0ZLM XIV is anticipated to close mid/late December
Indicative pricing table:

Class

Rating (Moody's /Fitch)

Par amount

WAL

Coupon

DM

Price

A-1 Notes

[Aaa]/[AAA]

[318,750,000]

[6.1]

L + [1.57] %

L + [1.57] %

Par

A-2 Notes
[Aa2]/[AA]
[61,500,000]

EFTA01399929

[7.8]

L + [2.30]%

L + [2.30]%

Par

B Notes
[A2]/[A]
[25,750,000]
[8.5]
L+ [3.15]%
L + [3.20] %
Par

C Notes

[Baa3]/[BBB]

[30,250,000]

[9.1]

L + [4.35]%

L + [4.85]%

Mid 90s

D Notes
[Ba3]/[BB]
[23,750,000]
[9.7]
L+ [6.35]%
L+ [7.85] %

EFTA01399930

High 90s

Equity
NR
[47,670,000]
N/A
N/A
L + mid teens

  1. Per your request, please find a run of bank $1000 bank preferreds:
NxtCallB Px A PxB YTCB CURFloatsNotes
AXP5.2011/15/1998-995.5185.259+342.8S 2MM
AXP4.9003/15/2096-965.9625.104+328.5S 5MM
BAC5.2006/01/2393-946.2315.539+313.5S 2MM
BAC5.12506/17/1996-976.1505.297+338.7S 5MM
BAC6.2509/05/24100-1016.1186.196+370.5
BAC6.5010/23/24104-1055.8106.205+417.4
BAC8.0001/30/18103-1046.3827.748+363
BAC8.12505/15/18103-1046.4677.831+ 364S 2MM
BAC6.1003/17/25100-1006.0636.085+3.898
BK4.9506/20/2098-995.2275.006+ 342S 3MM

EFTA01399931

BK4.5006/20/2392-935.6924.865+ 246Q
с6.3005/15/2497-986.6916.462+ 342
Nxt CallB Px A PxB YTCB CURFloatsNotes
с6.12511/15/20100-1006.0076.095+447.8MKT 5x2
с5.95 N08/15/2098-996.3186.041+ 409.5
C5.9501/30/2397-986.3656.095+ 407
с5.9505/15/2595-956.6516.255+390.5Mkt 3x2
C5.9002/15/2397-986.3126.044+423
C5.87503/27/2098-986.3725.987+ 405.9Mkt 3MM
с5.8011/15/1997-986.4495.934+ 409.3
с5.3505/15/2393-946.4595.722+ 347
COF5.5506/01/2099-1005.6135.564+380
FITB4.9009/30/1993-946.7645.227+313Q
FITB5.1006/30/2390-916.6685.620+ 303
GS012/18/1571-72582.6435.585+ 76.75
Nxt CallB Px A PxB YTCB CURFloatsNotes
GS5.37505/10/2099-995.5665.416+ 392
GS5.7005/10/19100-1015.6195.686+ 388
JPM7.9004/30/18102-1036.6047.679+ 347S 3MM
JPM6.7502/01/24107-1085.5956.279+ 378
JPM5.0007/01/1996-976.0925.181+ 332
JPM6.1010/01/24100-1015.9886.055+ 333

EFTA01399932

JPM6.12504/30/24100-1016.0106.079+ 333
JPM5.1505/01/2395-965.9485.407+ 325
JPM6.0008/01/23100-1015.9165.970+ 330
JPM5.3005/01/2099-1005.4275.327+380
MS5.5507/15/2099-995.7035.585+381S 2MM
MS5.4507/15/1997-986.3025.604+ 361S 3MM
Nxt CallB Px A PxB YTCB CURFloatsNotes
PNC4.8506/01/2394-955.8465.160+ 304Q
PNC6.7508/01/21108-1095.1126.250+ 368
STI5.62512/15/19100% - 100%5.5895.618+386
STT5.2509/15/20100-1005.2185.243+ 359.7
WFC5.87506/15/25104-1055.2375.609+399
WFC7.9803/15/18106-1065.1957.528+ 377
WFC0.0012/18/1597층-97종44.2515.720+93
WFC5.9006/15/24101-1015.7135.827+ 311
P
Paul Morris Nov 18, 2015 2:17 PM
To
Vahe Stepanian
Cc
Stewart OldfieldDaniel SabbaAriane Dwyer

Thanks give us a call when you free up

Paul Morris

Managing Director

Deutsche Bank Private Bank

Office:

Cell:

V
Vahe Stepanian Nov 18, 2015 2:51 PM
To
Paul Morris
Cc
Stewart OldfieldDaniel SabbaAriane Dwyer

Paul — just returned your call. Give me a call at your convenience @

1419 files from the DOJ Epstein case media release. All files are public records from justice.gov.

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