Overview of USA Inc.’s Key Financial Challenges
& Potential and/or Solutions
Financial Net Present Cost! Mathematical Illustrations Rank Challenge ($T / % of 2010 GDP) and/or Potential Policy Solutions?
* Isolate and address the drivers of medical cost inflation 1 Medicaid $35 Trillion / 239% + Improve efficiency / productivity of healthcare system ¢ Reduce coverage for optional benefits & optional enrollees
¢ Reduce benefits « Increase Medicare tax rate
: Metis pe SOMUUESLE SES L Isolate and address the drivers of medical cost inflation * Improve efficiency / productivity of healthcare system * Raise retirement age * Reduce benefits Social ah 5 * Increase Social Security tax rate : Security Gemalion ¢ Reduce future initial benefits by indexing to cost of living growth rather than wage growth * Subject benefits to means test to determine eligibility von GDP / * Invest in technology / infrastructure / education
4 -- * Remove tax & regulatory uncertainties to stimulate employment growth Revenue ai F * Reduce subsidies and tax expenditures & broaden tax base Growth * Resume the 20-year trend line for lower Federal civilian employment Government : ‘ 5 mer -- * Implement more flexible compensation systems Inefficiencies ; ; f ; * Consolidate / selectively local outsource certain functions
Note: 1) Net Present Cost is calculated as the present value of expected future net liabilities (expected revenue minus expected costs) for each program / issue over the next 75 years, Medicare estimate per Dept. of Treasury, “2010 Financial Report of the U.S. Government,” Social Security estimate per Social Security Trustees’ Report (8/10). 2) For more details on potential solutions, see slides 252-410 or full USA Inc. presentation. 3) Medicaid does not have dedicated revenue source and its $35T net KP present cost excludes funding from general tax revenue, NPV analysis based on 3% discount rate applied to CBO’s projection for annual inflation-adjusted expenses.
(@)E) www.kpcb.com USA Inc. | Introduction 21
The Essence of America’s Financial Conundrum
& Math Problem?
While a hefty 80% of Americans indicate balancing the budget should be one of the country’s top priorities, per a Peter G. Peterson Foundation survey in 11/09...
...only 12% of Americans support cutting spending on Medicare or Social Security, per a Pew Research Center survey, 2/11.
Some might call this ‘having your cake and eating it too...’
KP a USA Inc. | Introduction 22
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