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HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013110

House Oversight Committee
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194 11 Stages of Cognitive Development

Piaget Meets Uncertain Inference

Full self modification

Capable of self-modification of internal structures Able to carry out arbitary complex inferences (constrained Formal only by computational resources) via including inference control as an explicit subject of abstract learning

Able to carry out more complex chains of reasoning via using Concrete inference control schemata that adapt behavior based on experience

(reasoning about a given case in a manner similar to prior cases)

Able to recognise patterns in and make inferences about the Infantile world, but only using simplistic hard-wired (not experientially learned)

inference control schema.

Fig. 11.2: Piagetan Stages of Development, as Manifested in the Context of Uncertain Inference

An uncertain inference system, as we consider it here, consists of four components, which work together in a feedback-control loop 11.3

a content representation scheme

an uncertainty representation scheme a set of inference rules

a set of inference control schemata

mw N

U7 4 y . ™ Inference Rule 1 wan Prior

| . Experience i

\ Weighted Best }

Choice Control

Schema

Inference Control Schemata 1

Cognitive Action Is Taken

‘Inference Control (=~ Schemata 2

Inference Control Schemata N

Fig. 11.3: A Simplified Look at Feedback-Control in Uncertain Inference

HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013110